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  1. Predictions
buy

Volkswagen AG VZO buy Subdi

Volkswagen AG VZO
Start price
€145.36
03.09.20 / 50%
Target price
€163.00
21.09.20
Performance (%)
-6.04%
End price
€136.58
21.09.20
Summary
This prediction ended on 21.09.20 with a price of €136.58. With a performance of -6.04%, the BUY prediction for Volkswagen AG VZO by Subdi closed slightly in the red. Subdi has a follow-up prediction for Volkswagen AG VZO, but this time predicts that Volkswagen AG VZO is a Sell. Subdi has 50% into this prediction

Volkswagen AG (VLKPF) is a German multinational automotive company that designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of vehicles, including passenger cars, trucks, and buses, under brands such as Volkswagen, Audi, Porsche, and Lamborghini. With headquarters in Wolfsburg, Germany, Volkswagen is one of the largest companies in the automotive industry, with operations in more than 150 countries worldwide. The company is publicly listed in several stock exchanges, with the majority of its shares owned by the Porsche and Piech families. Despite facing several controversies related to environmental regulations and emissions standards, Volkswagen continues to be a major player in the automotive market, with a focus on electric and autonomous vehicles.

Performance without dividends (%)
Name 1w 1m 1y 3y
Volkswagen AG VZO -0.620% -0.620% -1.393% -47.593%
iShares Core DAX® 1.804% -0.748% 13.168% 16.408%
iShares Nasdaq 100 -0.182% -3.412% 39.976% 43.502%
iShares Nikkei 225® 0.413% -7.381% 18.776% 2.874%
iShares S&P 500 0.664% -1.941% 28.141% 42.155%

According to Subdi what are the pros and cons of Volkswagen AG VZO for the foreseeable future?

Pros
High dividend yield expected
Capable Management
Some uniques
Sustainability is important
Top 10 in its market
Well known brand
Differentiated customer and product portfolio
Cons
Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
overvalued
Junk rating
Very little Investments for future growth
High risks in the balance sheet
ROE lower than 10% per year
Very bad culture
Little innovation
High risks for its business
Very high cyclical dependencies
Outdated or very high risk business model
High challenges to pay loans and raise capital
Growths slower than the competition

Comments by Subdi for this prediction

In the thread Volkswagen AG VZO diskutieren
Prediction Buy
Perf. (%) -6.04%
Target price 163.000
Change
Ends at 21.09.20

Wenn nicht short dann eben long - zumindest kurzfristig ;-)

Einerseits finde ich es absolut richtig dass Volkswagen so heftig in E-Autos investiert, denn das ist zweifellos die Zukunft. Andererseits glaube ich dass Volkswagen technologisch gegenüber Tesla noch eine Menge aufzuholen hat, und mit E-Autos noch lange kein Geld verdienen wird.

 Volkswagen ist auch in einer Zwickmühle, denn je attraktiver ihre E-Autos werden, um so schlechter verkaufen sich die Verbrenner. Auf Sicht der nächsten drei Jahre sehe ich schwarz für die Gewinne und die Dividende.

Diese mittelfristige Perspektive scheint am Markt derzeit aber keine Rolle zu spielen, denn kurzfristig zählt die strategisch bessere Aufstellung von Volkswagen im Vergleich zu anderen Autoherstellern.

Subdi 
2
Report Share
03.09.20

SELL wäre doch richtig gewesen :-(

Subdi 
1
Report Share
21.09.20 Buy -6.04%
Prediction Buy
Perf. (%) -6.04%
Target price 163.000
Change
Ends at 21.09.20

Ende der Empfehlung.

Subdi 
2
Report Share
21.09.20

Current prediction by Subdi for Volkswagen AG VZO

sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€116.98
07.03.24
€99.99
07.03.25
2.84%
24.04.24

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
07.03.24 50%

Stopped prediction by Subdi for Volkswagen AG VZO

sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€144.12
14.11.22
€80.00
14.11.23
-24.81%
15.11.23

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
14.11.22 50%
sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€152.98
06.04.22
€118.00
06.04.23
-13.60%
29.09.22

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
06.04.22 100%
sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€244.95
03.04.21
€150.00
03.04.22
-35.02%
03.04.22

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
03.04.21 50%
sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€188.90
04.03.21
€98.00
25.86%
22.03.21

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
04.03.21 50%
sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€143.30
10.06.20
€118.00
03.09.20
1.44%
03.09.20

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
10.06.20 50%
sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€129.02
09.05.20
€100.00
27.05.20
9.13%
27.05.20

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
09.05.20 50%
sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€121.00
20.04.16
€71.45
02.05.16
-
02.05.16

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
14.08.19 50%
sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€108.35
12.10.15
€80.00
12.04.16
-1.06%
12.04.16

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
14.08.19 50%
sell
Volkswagen AG VZO

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€104.70
22.09.15
€80.00
05.10.15
-15.66%
05.10.15

Risky Investment
Revenue decline > 20% expected
EBIT decline/stagnation expected
Lower EBIT Margin than peer group
Subdi 
14.08.19 50%