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Lenzing AG buy gerihouse

Start price
€58.59
25.08.15 / 50%
Target price
€60.00
25.08.15
Performance (%)
3.17%
End price
€60.44
25.08.15
Summary
This prediction ended on 25.08.15 with a price of €60.44. The BUY prediction by gerihouse finished with a performance of 3.17%. gerihouse has a follow-up prediction for Lenzing AG where he still thinks Lenzing AG is a Buy. gerihouse has 50% into this prediction
Performance without dividends (%)
Name 1w 1m 1y 3y
Lenzing AG -0.826% -0.826% -47.826% -72.727%
iShares Core DAX® 1.051% -1.833% 12.822% 15.392%
iShares Nasdaq 100 -0.547% -3.738% 40.625% 42.396%
iShares Nikkei 225® -1.778% -8.115% 16.092% 0.891%
iShares S&P 500 0.002% -2.226% 28.387% 41.095%

According to gerihouse what are the pros and cons of Lenzing AG for the foreseeable future?

Pros
Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
Innovative
Fair valuation
High dividend yield expected
Top 10 in its market
Good rating
Cons

Comments by gerihouse for this prediction

In the thread Lenzing AG diskutieren
Prediction Buy
Perf. (%) 3.17%
Target price 60.000
Change
Ends at 25.08.15

Verdreifacht Halbjahresgewinn

gerihouse stimmt am 25.08.2015 der Hold-Einschätzung der institutionellen Analysten mit dem Kursziel 62.57€ nicht zu.

Wieder ein Kauf!

 

Der Faserkonzern Lenzing hat ein erfolgreiches erstes Halbjahr hinter sich. Die Erlöse stiegen um 6,2 Prozent auf 955,4 Millionen Euro, das EBTIDA verbesserte sich um  37,7 Prozent auf 126,5 Millionen Euro, das operative Ergebnis lag mit 60,5 Millionen Euro um 86,7 Prozent über dem Vorjahreswert. Unterm Strich blieb ein Nettogewinn von 51,6 Millionen Euro.

Das ist mehr als drei Mal so viel wie im ersten Halbjahr 2014 und um gut 10 Millionen Euro mehr, als Analysten erwartet hatten. Gründe für den Aufschwung seien die "sehr positiven Währungseffekte aufgrund der Euro-Schwäche, eine gute Faser-Nachfrage im zweiten Quartal sowie unsere verbesserte Kostenposition", kommentiert der  neue Vorstandsvorsitzend Stefan Doboczky den  Geschäftsverlauf. "Die Viscosefaserpreise am weltgrößten Absatzmarkt China wurden gegen Ende des zweiten Quartals zudem von einem günstigeren Angebots- und Nachfrageverhältnis gestützt, da einige lokale Viscosefaser-Kapazitäten aus Umweltgründen aus dem Markt genommen wurden. Wir bleiben aber für den weiteren Jahresverlauf 2015 vorsichtig, da diese Kapazitäten wieder angefahren werden könnten".

Doboczky erwartet für das zweite Halbjahr eine Verbesserung des operativen Ergebnisses und eine weitere Reduktion der Nettofinanzverschuldung. Sie sank in den ersten sechs Monaten um 10,7 Prozent auf 401,5 Millionen Euro.

Lenzing stellt Viskosefasern für den Einsatz in Jeans, hochwertiger Bettwäsche, Unterwäsche und Sportbekleidung her. Der Konzern hat im Vorjahr bei knapp 1,9 Milliarden Euro Umsatz erstmals seit 1997 Verluste (von 14,2 Millionen Euro) geschrieben. Der langjährige CEO Peter Untersperger, der einen Restrukturierungskurs eingeleitet hatte, warf im Frühjahr das Handtuch

Prediction Buy
Perf. (%) 3.17%
Target price 60.000
Change
Ends at 25.08.15

(Zielkurs erreicht)

Current prediction by gerihouse for Lenzing AG

buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€55.60
30.05.23
€70.00
30.05.24
-46.04%
08:01

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model

Stopped prediction by gerihouse for Lenzing AG

buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€102.20
22.02.22
€130.00
22.02.23
-32.29%
23.02.23

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€123.60
05.01.22
€130.00
05.01.23
4.21%
08.01.22

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€112.60
06.08.21
€140.00
06.08.22
-0.53%
07.08.21

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€75.00
11.12.20
€140.00
58.40%
05.03.21

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€43.80
19.06.20
€55.00
12.10.20
17.81%
12.10.20

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€57.50
25.03.20
€70.00
07.05.20
-14.00%
07.05.20

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€83.55
02.09.19
€97.00
06.11.19
13.52%
06.11.19

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€90.60
14.08.19
€95.00
02.09.19
-7.78%
02.09.19

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€89.60
27.09.18
€105.00
08.04.19
6.86%
08.04.19

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€104.40
25.01.18
€140.00
31.08.18
4.02%
31.08.18

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€127.00
25.09.17
€150.00
16.11.17
-19.96%
16.11.17

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€157.95
22.05.17
€200.00
15.09.17
-19.15%
15.09.17

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€81.89
30.05.16
€96.00
05.08.16
17.23%
05.08.16

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€63.75
06.01.16
€80.00
04.04.16
7.97%
04.04.16

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€60.84
26.08.15
€70.00
09.10.15
8.25%
09.10.15

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€64.49
23.03.15
€70.00
08.07.15
2.06%
08.07.15

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€48.25
06.11.14
€55.00
28.11.14
7.69%
28.11.14

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€43.78
31.07.14
€51.00
16.09.14
10.95%
16.09.14

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€40.05
27.03.14
€45.00
05.05.14
14.87%
05.05.14

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€40.65
16.12.13
€45.00
17.01.14
12.62%
17.01.14

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€54.75
31.10.13
€60.00
11.12.13
-21.97%
11.12.13

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€63.95
08.04.13
€75.00
28.10.13
-13.17%
28.10.13

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€79.37
16.04.12
€106.00
03.04.13
-14.32%
03.04.13

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€100.63
07.06.11
€120.00
07.12.11
-36.32%
07.12.11

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Lenzing AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€85.71
17.03.11
€95.00
12.05.11
6.97%
12.05.11

Known brand
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Small cyclical dependencies
Future proof or reliable business model