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Profil von Steven_Jon_Kaplan

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"With every new wave of optimism or pessimism, we are ready to abandon history and time-tested principles, but we cling tenaciously and unquestioningly to our prejudices." --Benjamin Graham
"With every new wave of optimism or pessimism, we are ready to abandon history and time-tested principles, but we cling tenaciously and unquestioningly to our prejudices." --Benjamin Graham

BUY TLT AND EDV

BUY TLT AND EDV (May 18, 2026): TLT is a fund which invests in U.S. Treasuries and which consists of U.S. government debt averaging 25.70 years to maturity

"The intelligent investor realizes that stocks become more risky, not less, as their prices rise—and less risky, not more, as their prices fall." --Benjamin Graham
"The intelligent investor realizes that stocks become more risky, not less, as their prices rise—and less risky, not more, as their prices fall." --Benjamin Graham

DXY UP, GOLD/SPY DOWN

DXY UP, GOLD/SPY DOWN (April 20, 2026): Whenever any asset has made an extended move in one direction, and is about to make a huge move in the opposite

"But just months later, swept up in the wild enthusiasm of the market, [Sir Isaac] Newton jumped back in at a much higher price and lost £20,000 (or more than $3 million in today’s money)." --Benjamin Graham
"But just months later, swept up in the wild enthusiasm of the market, [Sir Isaac] Newton jumped back in at a much higher price and lost £20,000 (or more than $3 million in today’s money)." --Benjamin Graham

REVERBERANT REVERSALS

REVERBERANT REVERSALS (February 8, 2026): We have become conditioned by society to want to "turn over a new leaf" each time we approach and enter a new

"A technique that works repeatedly is to wait until the prevailing opinion about a certain industry is that things have gone from bad to worse, and then buy shares in the strongest companies in the group." --Peter Lynch
"A technique that works repeatedly is to wait until the prevailing opinion about a certain industry is that things have gone from bad to worse, and then buy shares in the strongest companies in the group." --Peter Lynch

3 FAT YEARS, 3 LEAN YEARS

3 FAT YEARS, 3 LEAN YEARS (December 28, 2025): It is appropriate that the Bible parshah for this week is about Joseph interpreting Pharaoh's dream

"When the neighbors tell me what to buy and then I wish I had taken their advice, it's a sure sign that the market has reached a top and is due for a tumble." --Peter Lynch
"When the neighbors tell me what to buy and then I wish I had taken their advice, it's a sure sign that the market has reached a top and is due for a tumble." --Peter Lynch

WANTED: LOST PUPPIES

WANTED: LOST PUPPIES (December 7, 2025): Whenever we are in the process of completing a major bubble peak for large-cap U.S. equities, as we had previously