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Austria Microsystems AG buy gerihouse

Start price
€25.96
27.10.16 / 50%
Target price
€35.00
07.02.17
Performance (%)
37.43%
End price
€35.68
07.02.17
Summary
This prediction ended on 07.02.17 with a price of €35.68. With a performance of 37.43% the BUY prediction by gerihouse was a big success. gerihouse has a follow-up prediction for Austria Microsystems AG where he still thinks Austria Microsystems AG is a Buy. gerihouse has 50% into this prediction
Performance without dividends (%)
Name 1w 1m 1y 3y
Austria Microsystems AG -7.645% -7.645% -84.109% -93.506%
iShares Core DAX® 0.766% 4.987% 20.618% 19.923%
iShares Nasdaq 100 0.469% 0.791% 41.407% 55.748%
iShares Nikkei 225® 2.600% 3.097% 27.674% 6.114%
iShares S&P 500 1.059% 2.108% 30.680% 49.742%

According to gerihouse what are the pros and cons of Austria Microsystems AG for the foreseeable future?

Pros
Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
Revenue growth >5% per year expected
Capable Management
Fair valuation
Good culture
Small cyclical dependencies
Cons

Comments by gerihouse for this prediction

In the thread Austria Microsystems AG diskutieren
Prediction Buy
Perf. (%) 37.43%
Target price 35.000
Change
Ends at 07.02.17

AMS wird zur Sensorik-Grossmacht


Zuviel gefallen. da gibts wieder was zu holen!


Die österreichische, in der Schweiz kotierte Herstellerin von Sensoren und analogen Chips, AMS, erwirbt für 570 Mio. $ Heptagon. Das Forschungs- und Entwicklungszentrum von Heptagon befindet sich in Rüschlikon (ZH).

Die in der Entwicklung und Fertigung von Sensoren und analogen integrierten Schaltkreisen tätige AMS wagt einen Riesenschritt. Für rund 570 Mio. $ übernimmt das in Österreich domizilierte Unternehmen, dessen Aktien aber an der SIX Swiss Exchange kotiert sind, Heptagon Advanced Micro-Optics. Werden die ambitiösen Geschäftsziele der kommenden Jahre erreicht, winkt den Heptagon-Eignern nochmals ein Betrag von bis zu 285 Mio. $. Vom Kaufpreis werden nur 64 Mio. $ in bar bezahlt, der grösste Teil wird in eigenen Aktien beglichen, was eine Kapitalerhöhung um 15% nötig macht. Entsprechend stark reagierten am Dienstag die AMS-Aktien: Anfänglich brach der Kurs um fast einen Viertel ein, erholte sich später dann geringfügig. Künftig werden die Heptagon-Eigner knapp 20% von AMS kontrollieren.


Auf dem Weg zum Milliardenunternehmen

Mit der Neuerwerbung avanciert AMS zum mit Abstand grössten Anbieter von optischer Sensorik. «Wir sind drei- bis viermal grösser als die Nummer zwei», sagt AMS-Konzernchef Alexander Everke. In drei Jahren will das Unternehmen zusammen mit Heptagon einen Umsatz von 1,2 Mrd. € und einen Betriebsgewinn von rund 360 Mio. € erwirtschaften – dies würde rund einer Verdoppelung gegenüber 2015 entsprechen. Um diese ambitiösen Ziele zu erreichen, muss AMS in den kommenden drei Jahren jeweils um 30% wachsen und die operative Gewinnmarge auf 30% verbessern. Auf bereinigter Basis fiel die Ebit-Marge im dritten Quartal unter 20% (vgl. Tabelle). Wegen der jüngsten Probleme von Samsung wird auch das Schlussquartal von AMS schwach ausfallen. Der Umsatz werde um rund 10% tiefer liegen als im dritten Quartal. Schon in der Vergangenheit hatte AMS wiederholt das Budget nicht einhalten können. Das Unternehmen betreibt in Österreich eine Chipfabrik und baut im US-Gliedstaat New York ein weiteres Werk.


(http://www.nzz.ch/wirtschaft/gewagte-uebernahme-ams-wird-zur-sensorik-grossmacht-ld.124000)



Prediction Buy
Perf. (%) 37.43%
Target price 35.000
Change
Ends at 07.02.17

(Zielkurs erreicht)

Current prediction by gerihouse for Austria Microsystems AG

buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€3.49
16.11.23
€6.00
16.11.24
-67.56%
10:24

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model

Stopped prediction by gerihouse for Austria Microsystems AG

buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€7.75
10.11.22
€11.00
10.11.23
-58.05%
11.11.23

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€13.94
04.04.22
€20.00
04.04.23
-15.50%
16.04.22

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€15.06
10.01.22
€20.00
10.01.23
-1.73%
22.01.22

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€20.30
22.02.21
€30.00
-9.85%
06.03.21

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€18.70
29.10.20
€25.00
04.11.21
12.33%
15.02.21

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€13.92
29.06.20
€19.00
24.09.20
24.68%
24.09.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€16.45
08.06.20
€25.00
29.06.20
-16.17%
29.06.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€12.53
18.05.20
€15.00
30.05.20
8.22%
30.05.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€9.88
20.04.20
€15.00
02.05.20
24.49%
02.05.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€8.89
17.03.20
€12.00
20.04.20
11.19%
20.04.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€8.91
16.03.20
€15.00
17.03.20
-2.40%
17.03.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€16.30
13.03.20
€30.00
16.03.20
-14.02%
16.03.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€35.40
24.02.20
€50.00
05.03.20
-19.41%
05.03.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€37.53
27.01.20
€50.00
08.02.20
11.43%
08.02.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€40.19
13.01.20
€60.00
25.01.20
-6.62%
25.01.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€37.16
21.12.19
€50.00
11.01.20
5.89%
11.01.20

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€42.44
09.12.19
€55.00
21.12.19
-12.44%
21.12.19

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€40.20
23.11.19
€55.00
07.12.19
1.49%
07.12.19

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€42.95
11.11.19
€55.00
23.11.19
-6.40%
23.11.19

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€43.14
28.10.19
€80.00
09.11.19
-1.51%
09.11.19

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€38.86
10.09.19
€80.00
28.10.19
11.01%
28.10.19

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€38.04
14.08.19
€45.00
02.09.19
-6.20%
02.09.19

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€45.21
07.08.19
€55.00
13.08.19
-15.99%
13.08.19

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€45.21
07.08.19
€50.00
02.09.19
-21.08%
02.09.19

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model
buy
Austria Microsystems AG

Start price
Target price
Perf. (%)
€33.23
20.05.19
€59.00
31.07.19
46.61%
31.07.19

Could be worthwhile Investment >10% per year
Top 10 in its market
Known brand
Future proof or reliable business model