Capri Holdings Ltd. buy bundfuture
Summary
This prediction ended on 30.11.15 with a price of €40.26. With a performance of -3.80%, the BUY prediction for Capri Holdings Ltd. by bundfuture closed slightly in the red. bundfuture has 50% into this predictionPerformance without dividends (%)
| Name | 1w | 1m | 1y | 3y |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capri Holdings Ltd. | 1.750% | 1.750% | 0.253% | -27.846% |
| iShares Core DAX® | 4.094% | 3.543% | 17.404% | 20.326% |
| iShares Nasdaq 100 | 1.424% | 0.512% | 39.212% | 55.365% |
| iShares Nikkei 225® | -1.572% | -4.633% | 15.731% | 2.146% |
| iShares S&P 500 | 1.822% | 0.963% | 30.396% | 45.950% |
Comments by bundfuture for this prediction
In the thread Capri Holdings Ltd. diskutieren
Buy the Dip
For the fourth quarter ended March 28, 2015:
"Total revenue increased 17.8% to $1.1 billion from $917.5 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014. On a constant currency basis, total revenue increased 23.3%. Gross profit increased 14.8% to $630.8 million, and as a percentage of total revenue was 58.4%. Income from operations was $256.2 million. Net income was $182.6 million, or $0.90 per diluted share, based on a 29.4% tax rate and 203.2 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding, which included an unfavorable impact related to foreign currency exchange rates of approximately $0.06 per share."
--> halten wir fest Umsatz, Gross Profit, Operating Income sowie Net Income über dem Vorjahresquartal
For the fiscal year ended March 28, 2015
"Total revenue for the year increased 32.0% to $4.4 billion from $3.3 billion in fiscal 2014. Gross profit for the year increased 31.3% to $2.6 billion. Net income for the year was $881.0 million, or $4.28 per diluted share, based on 205.9 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding."
-->auch alles im grünen Bereich
Outlook
"For the first quarter of fiscal 2016, the Company expects total revenue to be in the range of $930 million to $950 million. Diluted earnings per share are expected to be in the range of $0.74 to $0.78 for the first quarter of fiscal 2016."
--> revenues first quarter of fiscal 2015 $919 million = OK; earnings per share $0.91 = Grund für den Absturz. Das Wachstum bei Michael Kors verlangsamt sich, aber wo wachsen die Bäume schon in den Himmel? Das ist Jammern auf hohem Niveau, denn
"Diluted earnings per share are expected to be in the range of $4.40 to $4.50 for fiscal 2016. This assumes 200.0 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding and a tax rate of approximately 29%. The Company expects foreign currency to impact net income by approximately $39.0 million and EPS by approximately $0.20."
--> Die prognostizierten $4.45 eps für 2016 > $4.28 Dollar aus dem Fiskaljahr 2015. Bei einem Blick auf den akt. Aktienpreis von $45.93 ergibt sich ein Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis von 10,4. Ein echtes Schnäppchen. Manche mögen nun argumentieren das die Aktie von Michael Kors charttechnisch angeschlagen ist. Nun ja das mag sein, bei meiner "Buy the Dip Strategie" ist das zu vernachlässigen. Charttechnik spielt bei meinen Empfehlungen eine eher untergeordnete Rolle, sonst hätte ich nie Conns kaufen dürfen. Wichtig ist mir jetzt erstmal einen Fuß in der Tür zu haben, deshalb baue ich eine erste kleine Position auf (20% der Gesamtposition). Selbst wenn es noch in Richtung 35 Dollar gehen sollte, wären noch 80% des für Michael Kors veranschlagten Kapitals frei für Nachkäufe verfügbar.