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Voyager Therapeutics Inc buy Quitte

Start price
€20.82
20.10.17 / 50%
Target price
€27.06
20.04.18
Performance (%)
-20.10%
End price
€16.63
20.04.18
Summary
This prediction ended on 20.04.18 with a price of €16.63. The price of Voyager Therapeutics Inc has decreased during the runtime of the prediction. Compared to the start price this resulted in a performance of -20.10%. Quitte has 50% into this prediction
Performance without dividends (%)
Name 1w 1m 1y 3y
Voyager Therapeutics Inc -0.701% -0.701% -36.148% 123.081%
iShares Core DAX® -0.268% 5.471% 14.271% 19.027%
iShares Nasdaq 100 1.854% 7.851% 35.426% 58.415%
iShares Nikkei 225® 0.284% 1.729% 9.943% 7.045%
iShares S&P 500 1.178% 5.269% 27.989% 49.400%

Comments by Quitte for this prediction

In the thread Voyager Therapeutics Inc diskutieren
Prediction Buy
Perf. (%) -20.10%
Target price 27.060
Change
Ends at 20.04.18

heiße Eisen im Feuer


https://seekingalpha.com/article/4113624-4-biotech-stocks-worth-buying-pullback


Shares of this gene therapy pioneer peaked at the $26 mark before rapidly regressing to $20. I think this one especially is a candidate for a swift snap back. In early September, I followed up with an update after it was clear that candidate VY-AADC01 was a winner in treating patients with Advanced Parkinson's disease. Dose and time-dependent improvements were observed on several measures of motor function after one-time administration of the drug candidate, and I noted that it was fascinating to envision a solution that allows patients' medications to be significantly reduced (by a mean of 42% in the third cohort versus 34% in the second and 14% in the first).

Management guided for a pivotal phase 2/3 program to be initiated late in the year with the first patient to be enrolled and dosed in the first half of 2018. The fact that the company hasn't engaged in a secondary offering yet raises eyebrows, and I note that Sanofi (NYSE:SNY) already owns 10% of shares outstanding.

As of June 30th, the company had cash and equivalents of $141.3 million, and management has guided for finishing the year with $90 to $100 million on the balance sheet. This compares favorably to the GAAP net loss of $18.9 million for the quarter.

The company also has other promising irons in the fire, with IND-enabling studies for VY-SOD101 for the treatment of ALS caused by mutations in the superoxide dismutase 1 gene (SOD1) progressing and the application to be filed later in the year or in early 2018. I believe that management's tentative hypothesis that a single intrathecal injection could substantially reduce levels of the toxic protein in the central nervous system to slow disease progression holds water.

On the con side, I imagine the method of administration for VY-AADC01 has the possibility of hindering adoption.

I consider this one a revaluation play, believing it should increase as the market appreciates the strength of the data and realizes that the age of gene therapy truly is arriving. The company is transitioning to a late-stage gene therapy concern and the reduced risk brought on by such positive data should be taken into account.

Prediction Buy
Perf. (%) -20.10%
Target price 27.060
Change
Ends at 20.04.18

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